NZ InfraWatchInfrastructure exposure report
Generated 2026-07-01
Generated 2026-07-01
National / Multi-region — infrastructure exposure
10 tracked projects · $39.3b total pipeline value
10Projects
$39.3bTotal value
$16.6bAt election risk
77%Avg. probability
Projects by value
| Project | Status | Value | Completion | Score | Election risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Local Water Done Well — National Programme | Under Construction | $15b | 2034 | B | Extreme |
| Renewable Energy — Wind Farms (National) | Under Construction | $5.6b | 2027 | A | Safe |
| Ministry of Education — School Property Programme | Under Construction | $4.8b | 2028 | B | Medium |
| Transpower Grid Upgrades — National | Under Construction | $4.2b | 2034 | A | Safe |
| KiwiRail — Rail Network Upgrades | Under Construction | $3.6b | 2030 | B | Medium |
| Defence Estate Modernisation | Planning | $3.5b | 2034 | C | Low |
| Accessible Streets — Cycling/Walking Programme — Cancelled | Cancelled | $900m | TBC | C | Extreme |
| Whai Kāinga Whai Oranga — Māori Housing | Under Construction | $730m | 2027 | C | High |
| School Redevelopment Programme — Budget 2026 | Planning | $600m | 2030 | B | Low |
| State Highway Resilience Programme — Budget 2026 | Under Construction | $400m | 2030 | A | Low |
Sources & methodology. Project data from Te Waihanga's National
Infrastructure Pipeline and public records. Completion Probability is a transparent heuristic
(see https://nz-infrawatch.pages.dev/methodology/probability/). Approximations are flagged; no figures are fabricated.
© 2026 NZ InfraWatch.