National / Multi-region — infrastructure exposure

9 tracked projects · $38.6b total pipeline value

9Projects

$38.6bTotal value

$15.9bAt election risk

77Avg. probability

Projects by value

Project	Status	Value	Completion	Score	Election risk
Local Water Done Well — National Programme	Planning	$15b	2030	C	Extreme
Renewable Energy — Wind Farms (National)	Under Construction	$5.6b	2027	A	Safe
Ministry of Education — School Property Programme	Under Construction	$4.8b	2028	B	Medium
Transpower Grid Upgrades — National	Under Construction	$4.2b	2034	A	Safe
KiwiRail — Rail Network Upgrades	Under Construction	$3.6b	2030	B	Medium
Defence Estate Modernisation	Planning	$3.5b	2034	B	Low
Accessible Streets — Cycling/Walking Programme — Cancelled	Cancelled	$900m	TBC	C	Extreme
School Redevelopment Programme — Budget 2026	Planning	$600m	2030	A	Low
State Highway Resilience Programme — Budget 2026	Under Construction	$400m	2030	A	Low

Sources & methodology. Project data from Te Waihanga's National Infrastructure Pipeline and public records. Completion Probability is a transparent heuristic (see https://nz-infrawatch.pages.dev/methodology/probability/). Approximations are flagged; no figures are fabricated. © 2026 NZ InfraWatch.